According to analysts at the "Russia's Turn to Asia" portal, Russian President Vladimir Putin's visit to Ashgabat on December 12 and 13, 2025, marked not just a strengthening of ties, but the transition of Russian-Turkmen relations to a new, strategically significant phase, based on trust and shared ambitions to shape a Eurasian architecture.
An Economic Breakthrough and a Historic Record
Analysts emphasize that the partnership is demonstrating impressive economic growth.
Historical Trade High: Bilateral trade is expected to exceed $2.5 billion by the end of 2025, setting a record demonstrating the strength and resilience of ties. Growth of more than 30% was recorded in the second quarter of 2025.
High Corporate Confidence: Approximately 40 Russian-owned enterprises (including Gazprom, KAMAZ, LUKOIL, and Tatneft) and 342 joint investment projects worth approximately $3.5 billion demonstrate high business confidence in Turkmenistan's stable investment climate.
Infrastructure as the "Backbone of Relations": Turkmenistan's Role in the International North-South Transport Corridor
The article notes that if trade is the "circulatory system," then infrastructure is the "backbone" of relations.
The Central Hub of Eurasia: Turkmenistan's accession to the International North-South Transport Corridor (INSTC) in July 2023 officially integrated the country into the route linking India, Iran, Russia, and Central Asia. Turkmenistan forms a land bridge, and the port of Turkmenbashi serves as a key link.
The Importance of the Eastern Branch: The Eastern Branch of the INSTC (Russia-Kazakhstan-Turkmenistan-Iran) is actively developing; in 2024, it transported approximately 2 million tons of cargo, with the potential to reach 15 million tons by 2030.
Modernization projects: Russian companies, including Russian Railways, are actively involved in the electrification, digitalization, and modernization of Turkmen railways, which should unlock the country's true transit potential.
Key Investment Opportunities and Areas of Integration
Analysts have identified sectors where Russian investment aligns with Turkmenistan's modernization priorities.
Energy: Russian companies see opportunities in the Turkmen gas sector, with reserves of 13.4 trillion cubic meters. Interest is focused on the development of upper layers, gas processing, petrochemicals, and green energy (RES) projects, where Turkmenistan is prepared to triple production by 2030.
Digital Transformation: Russian ICT companies can support the implementation of Turkmenistan's "Digital Economy Development Concept 2026–2028" in the areas of e-government, cybersecurity, and smart city systems.
Industry and Agro-Industrial Complex: Cooperation in mechanical engineering (KAMAZ deliveries, construction of service centers) and agriculture (joint ventures for grain, meat, and dairy processing) is aimed at diversification and creating added value in Turkmenistan.
The Humanitarian Foundation and the Strategic Role of Neutrality
Turkmenistan's neutral status, which celebrated its 30th anniversary, has made Ashgabat an ideal platform for constructive dialogue.
Russia values Turkmenistan as a strategic anchor in Central Asia and a constructive platform for dialogue on security issues, combating crime, and strengthening the role of the UN.
The relationship is underpinned by a humanitarian foundation: over 54,000 Turkmen students study in Russia, and tourism from Turkmenistan to Russia increased by 68% in the summer of 2025.
The summary emphasizes that the Ashgabat-Moscow partnership is becoming a central pillar of the region in the new Eurasian economic order, entering a phase defined not by formalities but by practical achievements and mutually beneficial opportunities.
Source: Based on the publication "Putin's State Visit to Turkmenistan: Economic Ties between Russia and Turkmenistan – Analysis" on the portal "Russia's Turn to Asia."
