UN: By 2050, the population of Central Asia will reach 94 million
May 20, 2018 | 20:41 |4560
According to the UN Department of Economic and Social Affairs, the population of Central Asia will grow, and by the year of 2050 it will amount to 94.2 million people. It is generally accepted that currently more than 60 million people live in the Central Asian region. In other words, the population of Central Asia will increase by more than a third, which means that where previously the states had to provide work, feed, socially secure, etc. two inhabitants of the region, by the middle of the century the governments of the Central Asian states will need to take care of three. The UN believes that by 2050 the population of Uzbekistan will be 40.8 million people, Kazakhstan - 23 million, Tajikistan - 14.5 million, Kyrgyzstan - 8.1 million and Turkmenistan - 7.8 million people. The population of the Earth by 2050 will grow by 2.2 billion people and will reach 9.8 billion. China and India will continue to be the countries with the largest population - 1.4 billion and 1.3 billion people respectively. At the same time, the UN demographers do not rule out that by 2024 China will give India the first place in this indicator. The authors of the report assert that by the middle of the current century not less than 68% of the world's population will live in cities. Now the share of the urban population is 55%, and in the middle of the last century it was about 30%. Today, the most populated city in the world is Tokyo, where 37 million people live. But demographers predict that in 10 years the "palm tree" will be transferred to New Delhi. Now this city is one of the top five most populous cities in the world, along with Shanghai, Mexico City and São Paulo. Here it should be noted that, according to UN experts, not everywhere the population will only grow. In some countries, including Russia, Ukraine, Poland and a number of other Eastern European countries, since 2000 the population has been declining, people are emigrating or dying, and the birth rate is declining. At the same time, one must understand that this is only a forecast, even if very qualified. So, it is necessary to treat it as a probable course of events, that is, with a sufficient share of convention. Experts believe that the forecasted will happen with a high degree of probability, if everything goes the same as now, without changes. Such forecasts are made for the introduction of adjustments by states in their policies, in this case demographic, in order to influence negative trends and to change them for the better. In general, there is no need to be a genius in the forehead in order to determine some general, universal principles that an intelligent person must follow, regardless of whether we are many or few. We need to live in close partnership, save natural resources and protect clean water, air, our environment. It would seem as very simple principles. And yet, for a large part of humanity they are very difficult to follow. After all, to observe these principles - means, as many think, to limit yourself, your needs and desires. But this, in fact, is not so, for it is only necessary to use these goods wisely, without wasting them uselessly. The world has long affirmed the view that there is a shortage of resources on the ground, they are not enough for everyone, so you need to "snatch" yourself as much as possible now. "Après nous le déluge" - "after us there may be a flood for all we care". But, perhaps, we must think that the world does not end with us, life goes on. And as respectable people (and we are all in the perspective of someone's ancestors), we must take care of what, after all, will we leave to our descendants.Nury AMANOV
