Domestic and international financial institutions have given upbeat assessments of China's economic growth in 2026, according to their latest strategy reports.
A consensus among multiple financial organizations suggests a positive outlook for China's economy, attributing this anticipated growth to a combination of policy support, structural upgrades, and the release of unrealized potential.
"With the synergy of a super-large market and a robust industrial system, there is still significant economic growth potential and room for quality upgrades in our country, and the toolbox for macroeconomic policy is well-stocked," said Zhao Gege, chief macro analyst of Everbright Securities, one of the largest securities brokerage by assets in China.
Foreign institutions also forecast that China's economy will maintain its steady trajectory next year, bolstered by supportive policies.
Morgan Stanley projects that moderate easing measures, gradual rebalancing, and well controlled anti-involution strategies will contribute to a modest economic growth in 2026.
Swiss multinational investment bank UBS expects that more targeted policy support will be introduced domestically, reinforcing overall economic resilience.
"For companies to, for example, take advantage of cheaper energy, it could be subsidies for the consumer, could be subsidies for first-time house mortgage buyers. These are all what I would say put in the category of targeted policy moves," said Philip Wyatt, APAC economist at UBS Global Wealth Management Chief Investment Office.
The 15th Five-Year Plan, in which China has placed more emphasis on boosting advanced manufacturing for its next development targets covering 2026-2030, has have further boosted confidence among foreign institutions like Goldman Sachs.
Helped by the Chinese government's determination to advance the competitiveness of manufacturing and boost exports, China's real export growth is now expected to grow by 5 to 6 percent annually for the next few years, significantly up from a previous forecast, as Chinese goods gain global market share, the Goldman Sachs has found in a recent research report.